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KIM JONG-IL, the enigmatic North Korean leader, died on a train at 8.30am on Saturday in his country. Forty-eight
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For South Korean, Chinese and US intelligence services to have failed to pick up any clues to this momentous development - panicked phone calls among government

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A North Korean woman holding flowers arrives at the North Korea embassy in Beijing. Click for more photos
Life and times of Kim Jong Il

A North Korean woman holding flowers arrives at the North Korea embassy in Beijing. Photo: AFP

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South Korean dictator's daughter Park Geun-Hye and Kim Jong-Il pose in Pyongyang.
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As
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''We have clear plans about what to do if North Korea attacks but not if the North Korean regime unravels,'' said Michael Green, a former Asia adviser in
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''Every time you do these scenarios, one of the first objectives is trying to find out what's going on inside North Korea.''

In many countries, that would involve intercepting phone calls among government officials or peering down from spy satellites. And indeed, US spy planes and satellites scan
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who did not talk. ''This is a society that thrives on its opaqueness,'' said Christopher Hill, a former
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''It is very complex. To understand the leadership structure requires
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On Monday, the Obama administration held urgent consultations with allies but said little publicly about Kim's death.
2011 UGG Nieuwe Laarzen US officials acknowledged they were largely bystanders, hoping the drama did not lead to aggression against South Korea.

None of
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As failures go, the CIA's inability
vuitton soldes to pick up hints of Kim's death was fairly minor. But as one former agency official said: ''What's worst about our intel is our failure to penetrate deep into the existing leadership. We get defectors but their information is often old. We get mid-level people but they often don't know what's happening in the inner circle.''

The failure to pick up signs of turmoil are especially disconcerting for people in South Korea. Its capital, Seoul, is only 56 kilometres from the border and the military is on constant alert for a surprise attack.

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During that time, the President, Lee Myung-bak, travelled to Tokyo, met the Japanese Prime Minister, Yoshihiko Noda, returned home and was honoured at a 70th birthday
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Two hours before the announcement, South Korean officials shrugged when asked whether something was afoot.

'' 'Oh, my God!'
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